Laili, Ummiy Fauziyah (2012) Analisis Time Series Terhadap Indeks Harga Konsumen (IHK) Kabupaten Cilacap Dengan Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Dalam Perspektif Islam. El-Qist: Journal of Islamic Economics and Business (JIEB), 2 (1). pp. 185-213. ISSN 2252-7907, 2716-0335
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Analisis Time Series Terhadap Indeks Harga Konsumen (IHK) Kabupaten Cilacap Dengan Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Dalam Perspektif Islam.pdf Download (714kB) |
Abstract
While data on the CPI from July to December 2011 is used as the testing data and the data is obtained by the model error rate 0.0893988%. Based on ARIMA model equations have been obtained, it can be used to predict the value of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in January 2012 for 128.4362, 128.9642 by February, the month of March 2012 at 129.4865, April 2012 at 130.0053, May 2012 at 130.5222, June 2012 at 131.0378, July 2012 at 131.5527, August 2012 at 132.0672, September 2012 at 132.5814 and 133.0954 of the month in October 2012. The results of the consumer price index forecasting for the coming months look up every month, the increasing prices are possible because of mismatch between demand and supplies due to imperfect competition in the market. According to public opinion, the higher prices to be paid because people do a monopoly significantly to reduce the income of employees and the poor in general, and this is inconsistent with the spirit of the Qur'an and Sunnah, because it is not sociable and depriving the poor people also society completely.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Subjects: | 14 ECONOMICS > 1402 Applied Economics > 140299 Applied Economics not elsewhere classified |
| Divisions: | Fakultas Tarbiyah > Jurusan Pendidikan Agama Islam |
| Depositing User: | M. Royyan Nafis Fathul Wahab |
| Date Deposited: | 04 Aug 2021 03:43 |
| Last Modified: | 04 Aug 2021 03:43 |
| URI: | http://repository.iainkediri.ac.id/id/eprint/483 |
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